Debate: This house fears China

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Should we fear China on its rise?

Background and context

"If you don't think about your future, you can't have one" - this great words of famous English writer J. Galsworthy brightly describe today's situation in world with China. Economy, military, population, scientific development of the one of the biggest countries in the world can made everyone to think about China, about world, about themselves. Should we be afraid of China on its rise, currently (Nov 2010) growing at 9,6% despite the global financial crisis?

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Is China an economic threat?

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Yes

• It already is the greatest economy in the world and thus it is of great influence that might present a threat. [1]

According to Wikipedia: 1)GDP (Nominal) (2007) - $3.42 trillion (ranked 4th)

2)GDP (PPP) (2006) - $10.21 trillion (ranked 2nd)

3)GDP per capita (Nominal) (2006) $2,034 (ranked 107th)

4)GDP per capita (PPP) (2006) - $7,800 (ranked 82nd)

5)GDP growth rate (2007) - 11.4% (official data)

6)GDP by sector (2006) - agriculture (primary) (11.7%)

                               industry (secondary) (48.9%)
                               services (tertiary) (39.3%)
                         note: industry includes construction (5.5%)

7)GDP by components, % (2006) Private consumption (36.4)

                               Government consumption (13.7)
                               Gross fixed investment (40.9)
                               Exports of goods/services (39.7)
                               Imports of goods/services (-31.9)
                               Domestic demand growth (2002-06 av) 	9.3%

8)Interest rates (2007-12-20) One-year benchmark deposit rate: 4.14%

                               One-year lending rate: 7.47%

9)Household income or consumption by percentage share (2004) lowest 10%: 1.6%, highest 10%: 34.9%

10)Population below poverty line (2004) 10%

11)Gini index (2004) 46.9 (List of countries)

12)Labor force (2006) 795.3 million

13)Labor force by occupation (2005) agriculture (45%), industry (24%), services (31%)

14)Industrial production growth rate (2006) 22.9%

This facts show us how China is developing now. This is the most progressive economy in the world. This economy give opportunity to create new weapon, develop new technologies, create new army.

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No

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Is China headed for a revolution?

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Yes

• Social inequalities. There are great differences between the rich and the poor and this gap is widening every year. Millions of people are still living on a poverty line. However, this is not a picture of a long-term stable country.
• Undemocratic regime. Democratic regimes are usually more stable than dictatorships.

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No

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Is China is military threat?

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Yes

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No

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See also

• Debate: Is China a threat to international stability?
• Debate: Is China a threat to the United States?
• Debate: China in the 21st century
• Debate: China is headed for a revolution

External links

• The Japan Syndrome, by Ethan Devine, September 2010 - Foreign Policy